Burden of Salmonellosis, Campylobacteriosis and Listeriosis: A Time Series Analysis, Belgium, 2012 to 2020

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dc.contributor.authorde Noordhout, C. Maertensen_US
dc.contributor.authorDevleesschauwer, B.en_US
dc.contributor.authorHaagsma, J. A.en_US
dc.contributor.authorHavelaar, A. H.en_US
dc.contributor.authorBertrand, S.en_US
dc.contributor.authorVandenberg, O.en_US
dc.contributor.authorQuoilin, S.en_US
dc.contributor.authorBrandt, Patrick T.en_US
dc.contributor.authorSpeybroeck, N.en_US
dc.contributor.utdAuthorBrandt, Patrick T.en_US
dc.date.accessioned2018-08-20T16:33:06Z
dc.date.available2018-08-20T16:33:06Z
dc.date.created2017-09-21en_US
dc.date.issued2018-08-20
dc.description.abstractSalmonellosis, campylobacteriosis and listeriosis are food-borne diseases. We estimated and forecasted the number of cases of these three diseases in Belgium from 2012 to 2020, and calculated the corresponding number of disability-adjusted life years (DALYs). The salmonellosis time series was fitted with a Bai and Perron two-breakpoint model, while a dynamic linear model was used for campylobacteriosis and a Poisson autoregressive model for listeriosis. The average monthly number of cases of salmonellosis was 264 (standard deviation (SD): 86) in 2012 and predicted to be 212 (SD: 87) in 2020; campylobacteriosis case numbers were 633 (SD: 81) and 1,081 (SD: 311); listeriosis case numbers were 5 (SD: 2) in 2012 and 6 (SD: 3) in 2014. After applying correction factors, the estimated DALYs for salmonellosis were 102 (95% uncertainty interval (UI): 8-376) in 2012 and predicted to be 82 (95% UI: 6-310) in 2020; campylobacteriosis DALYs were 1,019 (95% UI: 137-3,181) and 1,736 (95% UI: 178-5,874); listeriosis DALYs were 208 (95% UI: 192226) in 2012 and 252 (95% UI: 200-307) in 2014. New actions are needed to reduce the risk of food-borne infection with Campylobacter spp. because campylobacteriosis incidence may almost double through 2020.en_US
dc.description.departmentSchool of Economic, Political and Policy Studiesen_US
dc.identifier.bibliographicCitationde Noordhout, C. Maertens, B. Devleesschauwer, J. A. Haagsma, A. H. Havelaar, et al. 2017. "Burden of salmonellosis, campylobacteriosis and listeriosis: a time series analysis, Belgium, 2012 to 2020." Eurosurveillance 22(38), doi:10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2017.22.38.30615en_US
dc.identifier.issn1560-7917en_US
dc.identifier.issue38en_US
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10735.1/6001en_US
dc.identifier.volume22en_US
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.publisherEuropean Centre for Disease Prevention & Controlen_US
dc.relation.urihttp://dx.doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2017.22.38.30615
dc.rightsCC BY 4.0 (Attribution)en_US
dc.rights©2017 The Authorsen_US
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/en_US
dc.source.journalEurosurveillanceen_US
dc.subjectGlobal Burden of Diseaseen_US
dc.subjectPublic Healthen_US
dc.subjectHepatitis Ben_US
dc.subjectNetherlandsen_US
dc.subjectRisken_US
dc.subjectMeta-analysisen_US
dc.subjectInfectionen_US
dc.subjectPathogenic microorganismsen_US
dc.subjectBiosurveillanceen_US
dc.subjectCommunicable Diseasesen_US
dc.titleBurden of Salmonellosis, Campylobacteriosis and Listeriosis: A Time Series Analysis, Belgium, 2012 to 2020en_US
dc.type.genrearticleen_US

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