Corporate Disclosure, Analyst Forecast Dispersion, and Stock Returns

dc.contributor.authorAli, Ashiq
dc.contributor.authorLiu, Mark
dc.contributor.authorXu, Danielle
dc.contributor.authorYao, Tong
dc.contributor.utdAuthorAli, Ashiq
dc.date.accessioned2020-04-08T22:27:54Z
dc.date.available2020-04-08T22:27:54Z
dc.date.issued2016-11-02
dc.descriptionDue to copyright restrictions and/or publisher's policy full text access from Treasures at UT Dallas is limited to current UTD affiliates (use the provided Link to Article).
dc.description.abstractThis article examines whether a corporate disclosure practice is one of the reasons for the forecast dispersion anomaly-the negative relation between analyst forecast dispersion and future stock returns. Prior studies have shown that firms tend to delay the disclosure of bad news and that withholding of news leads to greater dispersion in analysts' forecasts. Accordingly, we predict that firms with higher dispersion in analysts' earnings forecasts are more likely to experience poor earnings in the subsequent quarter, and find evidence consistent with this prediction. After controlling for the relation between forecast dispersion and future earnings, we find that forecast dispersion is no longer significantly negatively related to future stock returns. These results suggest that temporary withholding of bad news by firms increases forecast dispersion among analysts and leads to low subsequent stock returns.
dc.description.departmentNaveen Jindal School of Management
dc.identifier.bibliographicCitationAli, Ashiq, Mark Liu, Danielle Xu, and Tong Yao. 2019. "Corporate Disclosure, Analyst Forecast Dispersion, and Stock Returns." Journal of Accounting Auditing and Finance 34(1): 54-73, doi: 10.1177/0148558X16674857
dc.identifier.issn0148-558X
dc.identifier.issue1
dc.identifier.urihttp://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0148558X16674857
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10735.1/7911
dc.identifier.volume34
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherSage Publications Inc
dc.rights©2016 The Authors
dc.source.journalJournal of Accounting Auditing and Finance
dc.subjectCorporations--Accounting
dc.subjectBusiness analysts
dc.subjectCorporate profits
dc.subjectUncertainty
dc.subjectRisk assessment
dc.subjectBusiness forecasting
dc.titleCorporate Disclosure, Analyst Forecast Dispersion, and Stock Returns
dc.type.genrearticle

Files

Collections