School of Economic, Political and Policy Sciences
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The School of Economic, Political and Policy Sciences includes programs in Criminology, Economics, GeoSpatial Science, Public Policy and Political Economy, Political Science, Public Affairs, and Sociology.
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Browsing School of Economic, Political and Policy Sciences by Author "0000-0001-5125-6450 (Griffith, DA)"
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Item A Spatial-Filtering Zero-Inflated Approach to the Estimation of the Gravity Model of Trade(MDPI) Metulini, Rodolfo; Patuelli, Roberto; Griffith, Daniel A.; 0000-0001-5125-6450 (Griffith, DA); 14855602 (Griffith, DA); Griffith, Daniel A.Nonlinear estimation of the gravity model with Poisson-type regression methods has become popular for modelling international trade flows, because it permits a better accounting for zero flows and extreme values in the distribution tail. Nevertheless, as trade flows are not independent from each other due to spatial and network autocorrelation, these methods may lead to biased parameter estimates. To overcome this problem, eigenvector spatial filtering (ESF) variants of the Poisson/negative binomial specifications have been proposed in the literature on gravity modelling of trade. However, no specific treatment has been developed for cases in which many zero flows are present. This paper contributes to the literature in two ways. First, by employing a stepwise selection criterion for spatial filters that is based on robust (sandwich) p-values and does not require likelihood-based indicators. In this respect, we develop an ad hoc backward stepwise function in R. Second, using this function, we select a reduced set of spatial filters that properly accounts for importer-side and exporter-side specific spatial effects, as well as network effects, both at the count and the logit processes of zero-inflated methods. Applying this estimation strategy to a cross-section of bilateral trade flows between a set of 64 countries for the year 2000, we find that our specification outperforms the benchmark models in terms of model fitting, both considering the AIC and in predicting zero (and small) flows.Item Eigenvector Spatial Filtering for Large Data Sets: Fixed and Random Effects Approaches(Wiley, 2018-03-25) Murakami, Daisuke; Griffith, Daniel A.; 0000-0001-5125-6450 (Griffith, DA); 14855602 (Griffith, DA); Griffith, Daniel A.Eigenvector spatial filtering (ESF) is a spatial modeling approach, which has been applied in urban and regional studies, ecological studies, and so on. However, it is computationally demanding, and may not be suitable for large data modeling. The objective of this study is developing fast ESF and random effects ESF (RE-ESF), which are capable of handling very large samples. To achieve it, we accelerate eigen-decomposition and parameter estimation, which make ESF and RE-ESF slow. The former is accelerated by utilizing the Nystrom extension, whereas the latter is by small matrix tricks. The resulting fast ESF and fast RE-ESF are compared with nonapproximated ESF and RE-ESF in Monte Carlo simulation experiments. The result shows that, while ESF and RE-ESF are slow for several thousand samples, fast ESF and RE-ESF require only several seconds for the samples. It is also suggested that the proposed approaches effectively remove positive spatial dependence in the residuals with very small approximation errors when the number of eigenvectors considered is 200 or more. Note that these approaches cannot deal with negative spatial dependence. The proposed approaches are implemented in an R package "spmoran."Item Implementing Moran Eigenvector Spatial Filtering for Massively Large Georeferenced Datasets(Taylor And Francis Ltd.) Griffith, Daniel A.; Chun, Yongwan; 0000-0001-5125-6450 (Griffith, DA); 0000-0002-4957-1379 (Chun, Y); 14855602 (Griffith, DA); 297769863 (Chun, Y); Griffith, Daniel A.; Chun, YongwanMoran eigenvector spatial filtering (MESF) furnishes an alternative method to account for spatial autocorrelation in linear regression specifications describing georeferenced data, although spatial auto-models also are widely used. The utility of this MESF methodology is even more impressive for the non-Gaussian models because its flexible structure enables it to be easily applied to generalized linear models, which include Poisson, binomial, and negative binomial regression. However, the implementation of MESF can be computationally challenging, especially when the number of geographic units, n, is large, or massive, such as with a remotely sensed image. This intensive computation aspect has been a drawback to the use of MESF, particularly for analyzing a remotely sensed image, which can easily contain millions of pixels. Motivated by Curry, this paper proposes an approximation approach to constructing eigenvector spatial filters (ESFs) for a large spatial tessellation. This approximation is based on a divide-and-conquer approach. That is, it constructs ESFs separately for each sub-region, and then combines the resulting ESFs across an entire remotely sensed image. This paper, employing selected specimen remotely sensed images, demonstrates that the proposed technique provides a computationally efficient and successful approach to implement MESF for large or massive spatial tessellations. ©2019 InformaItem Spatial Autocorrelation for Massive Spatial Data: Verification of Efficiency and Statistical Power Asymptotics(Springer Verlag) Luo, Q.; Griffith, Daniel A.; Wu, H.; 0000-0001-5125-6450 (Griffith, DA); 14855602 (Griffith, DA); Griffith, Daniel A.Being a hot topic in recent years, many studies have been conducted with spatial data containing massive numbers of observations. Because initial developments for classical spatial autocorrelation statistics are based on rather small sample sizes, in the context of massive spatial datasets, this paper presents extensions to efficiency and statistical power comparisons between the Moran coefficient and the Geary ratio for different variable distribution assumptions and selected geographic neighborhood definitions. The question addressed asks whether or not earlier results for small n extend to large and massively large n, especially for non-normal variables; implications established are relevant to big spatial data. To achieve these comparisons, this paper summarizes proofs of limiting variances, also called asymptotic variances, to do the efficiency analysis, and derives the relationship function between the two statistics to compare their statistical power at the same scale. Visualization of this statistical power analysis employs an alternative technique that already appears in the literature, furnishing additional understanding and clarity about these spatial autocorrelation statistics. Results include: the Moran coefficient is more efficient than the Geary ratio for most surface partitionings, because this index has a relatively smaller asymptotic as well as exact variance, and the superior power of the Moran coefficient vis-à-vis the Geary ratio for positive spatial autocorrelation depends upon the type of geographic configuration, with this power approaching one as sample sizes become increasingly large. Because spatial analysts usually calculate these two statistics for interval/ration data, this paper also includes comments about the join count statistics used for nominal data. ©2019 Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature.Item The Importance of Scale in Spatially Varying Coefficient Modeling(Routledge Journals, Taylor & Francis Ltd, 2018-02) Murakami, Daisuke; Lu, Binbin; Harris, Paul; Brunsdon, Chris; Charlton, Martin; Nakaya, Tomoki; Griffith, Daniel A.; 0000-0001-5125-6450 (Griffith, DA); 14855602 (Griffith, DA); Griffith, Daniel A.Although spatially varying coefficient (SVC) models have attracted considerable attention in applied science, they have been criticized as being unstable. The objective of this study is to show that capturing the "spatial scale" of each data relationship is crucially important to make SVC modeling more stable and, in doing so, adds flexibility. Here, the analytical properties of six SVC models are summarized in terms of their characterization of scale. Models are examined through a series of Monte Carlo simulation experiments to assess the extent to which spatial scale influences model stability and the accuracy of their SVC estimates. The following models are studied: (1) geographically weighted regression (GWR) with a fixed distance or (2) an adaptive distance bandwidth (GWRa); (3) flexible bandwidth GWR (FB-GWR) with fixed distance or (4) adaptive distance bandwidths (FB-GWRa); (5) eigenvector spatial filtering (ESF); and (6) random effects ESF (RE-ESF). Results reveal that the SVC models designed to capture scale dependencies in local relationships (FB-GWR, FB-GWRa, and RE-ESF) most accurately estimate the simulated SVCs, where RE-ESF is the most computationally efficient. Conversely, GWR and ESF, where SVC estimates are naively assumed to operate at the same spatial scale for each relationship, perform poorly. Results also confirm that the adaptive bandwidth GWR models (GWRa and FB-GWRa) are superior to their fixed bandwidth counterparts (GWR and FB-GWR).Item Uncertainty and Context in GIScience and Geography: Challenges in the Era of Geospatial Big Data(Taylor & Francis Ltd, 2019-01-17) Chun, Yongwan; Kwan, Mei-Po; Griffith, Daniel A.; 0000-0002-4957-1379 (Chun, Y); 0000-0001-5125-6450 (Griffith, DA); 297769863 (Chun, Y); 14855602 (Griffith, DA); Chun, Yongwan; Griffith, Daniel A.No abstract available.Item Uncertainty in the Effects of the Modifiable Areal Unit Problem under Different Levels of Spatial Autocorrelation: A Simulation Study(Taylor & Francis Ltd, 2018-11-13) Lee, Sang-Il; Lee, Monghyeon; Chun, Yongwan; Griffith, Daniel A.; 0000-0002-4957-1379 (Chun, Y); 0000-0001-5125-6450 (Griffith, DA); 297769863 (Chun, Y); 14855602 (Griffith, DA); Chun, Yongwan; Griffith, Daniel A.The objective of this paper is to investigate uncertainties surrounding relationships between spatial autocorrelation (SA) and the modifiable areal unit problem (MAUP) with an extensive simulation experiment. Especially, this paper aims to explore how differently the MAUP behaves for the level of SA focusing on how the initial level of SA at the finest spatial scale makes a significant difference to the MAUP effects on the sample statistics such as means, variances, and Moran coefficients (MCs). The simulation experiment utilizes a random spatial aggregation (RSA) procedure and adopts Moran spatial eigenvectors to simulate different SA levels. The main findings are as follows. First, there are no substantive MAUP effects for means. However, the initial level of SA plays a role for the zoning effect, especially when extreme positive SA is present. Second, there is a clear and strong scale effect for the variances. However, the initial SA level plays a non-negligible role in how this scale effect deploys. Third, the initial SA level plays a crucial role in the nature and extent of the MAUP effects on MCs. A regression analysis confirms that the initial SA level makes a substantial difference to the variability of the MAUP effects.