Testing Nowcasts of the Ionospheric Convection from the Expanding and Contracting Polar Cap Model

dc.contributor.authorWalach, M. -Ten_US
dc.contributor.authorMilan, S. E.en_US
dc.contributor.authorYeoman, T. K.en_US
dc.contributor.authorHubert, B. A.en_US
dc.contributor.authorHairston, Marc R.en_US
dc.contributor.utdAuthorHairston, Marc R.en_US
dc.date.accessioned2018-09-24T15:38:42Z
dc.date.available2018-09-24T15:38:42Z
dc.date.created2017-04-20en_US
dc.date.created2017-04-20
dc.date.issued2017-04-20en_US
dc.description.abstractThe expanding/contracting polar cap (ECPC) model, or the time-dependent Dungey cycle, provides a theoretical framework for understanding solar wind-magnetosphere-ionosphere coupling. The ECPC describes the relationship between magnetopause reconnection and substorm growth phase, magnetotail reconnection and substorm expansion phase, associated changes in auroral morphology, and ionospheric convective motions. Despite the many successes of the model, there has yet to be a rigorous test of the predictions or nowcasts made regarding ionospheric convection, which remains a final hurdle for the validation of the ECPC. In this study we undertake a comparison of ionospheric convection, as measured in situ by ion drift meters on board DMSP (Defense Meteorological Satellite Program) satellites and from the ground by SuperDARN (Super Dual Auroral Radar Network), with motions nowcasted by a theoretical model. The model is coupled to measurements of changes in the size of the polar cap made using global auroral imagery from the IMAGE FUV (Imager for Magnetopause to Aurora Global Exploration Far Ultraviolet) instrument, as well as the dayside reconnection rate, estimated using the OMNI data set. The results show that we can largely nowcast the magnitudes of ionospheric convection flows using the context of our understanding of magnetic reconnection at the magnetopause and in the magnetotail. Plain Language Summary We test a physics-based model which describes flows in the ionosphere near the magnetic poles due to solar wind driving of the activity within the Earth's magnetic environment using spacecraft and radar measurements of the flows. The results of this comparison show that our knowledge of the interactions of the solar wind, the Earth's magnetic environment, and ionosphere encompasses the general pattern of flows well, as well as the flow strengths. Further work is required to expand our understanding of asymmetric flows and to be able to model them better.en_US
dc.description.departmentWilliam B. Hanson Center for Space Sciencesen_US
dc.description.sponsorshipSTFC. Grant Number: ST/K001000/1; NERC. Grant Number: NE/K011766/1en_US
dc.identifier.bibliographicCitationWalach, M. -T, S. E. Milan, T. K. Yeoman, B. A. Hubert, et al. 2017. "Testing nowcasts of the ionospheric convection from the expanding and contracting polar cap model." Space Weather--The International Journal of Research and Applications 15(4): 623-636.en_US
dc.identifier.issn1542-7390en_US
dc.identifier.issue4en_US
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10735.1/6121
dc.identifier.volume15en_US
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.publisherAmer Geophysical Unionen_US
dc.relation.urihttp://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2017SW001615
dc.rightsCC BY 4.0 (Attribution)en_US
dc.rights©2017 The Authorsen_US
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/en_US
dc.sourceSpace Weather--The International Journal of Research and Applications
dc.subjectInterplanetary magnetic fieldsen_US
dc.subjectRadaren_US
dc.subjectIon flow dynamicsen_US
dc.subjectWindsen_US
dc.subjectMagnetic reconnectionen_US
dc.subjectSolar winden_US
dc.subjectMagnetosphereen_US
dc.subjectConvection (Astrophysics)en_US
dc.subjectIonosphereen_US
dc.subjectNowcasting (Meteorology)en_US
dc.titleTesting Nowcasts of the Ionospheric Convection from the Expanding and Contracting Polar Cap Modelen_US
dc.type.genrearticleen_US

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